Sunday, April 10, 2005

try again...

ok so the last prediction was embarrassingly wrong but i am goign to try again... i dun think my anayltical skills are that bad

i forgot 2 important patterns when making the earlier prediciton.. firstly i failed to take note that liverpool have only scored in 8 out of their 15 away matches.. this suggests that the players or the tactics just don't provide enough firepower upfront during away games... benitez has been brilliant for us throughout the season but away from home he just can't seem to find the winning formula...

furthermore, liverpool tend to lose away games 1-0.. this suggests that away from home liverpool are told to keep it tight at the back and create good counter attacks... however, those days of absobing pressure and counter attacking were gone the moment gerrard houllier was sacked.. the fact was that such tactics simply did not work often enough either...

in my opinion, liverpool should stick to 442 all the time whether home or away.. this is because this team just doesn't seem to understand the concept of shutting out opponents... we have only managed ONE clean sheet away from home all season.. and that was against a west brom team still getting used to bryan robson ! so obviously away defence is not our strong point...

i think we look alot more effective when we take the game to our opponents.. by pinning the defenders and even some midfielders back we lessen the work load on our defenders who are more than capable of shackling the strikers.. this is precisely what we do when we play at home but away we play 451. such a formation ought to mean midfielders come back to defend but players like garcia and nunez are just not good enough in that area.

all in all, juve vs liverpool has 1-0 written all over it.. based on their current tactics and the fact they have a goal lead from the first leg, liverpool will again play 4-5-1 and told to sit back and defend and wait for a good counter attacking opening.. but the question is: does liverpool actually know how to shut out opponents? by the time liverpool find that counter attackign opening, they may have already gone down 3-0...

the only good news is we shoudl have xabi alonso back.. together with the pacy baros.. we could find a counter attacking opening as early as the 10th minute.. such is the vision and precise passing of alonso that any pass he makes could always end up as the killer pass..

in conclusion, whoever scores first will win the tie..and unfortunately i would have to say it should be juve who do that...

final score: juve 1 liverpool 0